Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.009574 0.011450 0.013753 0.016841 0.020964 0.026410 0.034389
2025-03-09 0.007068 0.009159 0.012042 0.016487 0.023522 0.034954 0.056837
2025-03-16 0.005946 0.008126 0.011386 0.016945 0.027004 0.046559 0.095305
2025-03-23 0.005126 0.007276 0.010683 0.016958 0.029605 0.058358 0.151573
2025-03-30 0.004413 0.006430 0.009758 0.016238 0.030412 0.066999 0.217984
2025-04-06 0.003923 0.005848 0.009141 0.015887 0.031828 0.078583 0.332685
2025-04-13 0.003633 0.005546 0.008947 0.016306 0.035282 0.100223 0.621772
2025-04-20 0.003466 0.005425 0.009052 0.017390 0.041154 0.139716 1.609353
2025-04-27 0.003279 0.005239 0.008994 0.018084 0.046423 0.188408 5.171415
2025-05-04 0.003054 0.004953 0.008681 0.018063 0.049429 0.233780 20.103983
2025-05-11 0.002857 0.004696 0.008389 0.018019 0.052429 0.290788 257.827238
2025-05-18 0.002650 0.004397 0.007963 0.017504 0.053334 0.336454 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002413 0.004039 0.007405 0.016628 0.052914 0.379884 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002238 0.003787 0.007057 0.016304 0.055059 0.478581 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002132 0.003662 0.006975 0.016756 0.061625 0.729713 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002012 0.003496 0.006771 0.016769 0.066089 1.043526 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001868 0.003265 0.006380 0.016060 0.065746 1.237391 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001758 0.003094 0.006115 0.015714 0.067603 1.637104 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001694 0.003016 0.006067 0.016127 0.075408 3.004335 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001662 0.003004 0.006185 0.017195 0.090393 9.250584 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001615 0.002954 0.006197 0.017877 0.104058 38.325592 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001546 0.002849 0.006047 0.017857 0.111180 172.393797 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001482 0.002750 0.005900 0.017814 0.118459 4804.404423 NaN